D2.His.14.9-12: Analyzing the Complex Causes and Effects of the Panic of 1837
In plain English: D2.His.14.9-12 is the C3 Framework history indicator for grades 9-12 that asks students to analyze multiple and complex causes and effects of events in the past. Students sort causes by level, scope and kind, trace how causes fed one another, weigh rival explanations given at the time, and follow effects that spread across years.
Analyze multiple and complex causes and effects of events in the past.
C3 Framework for Social Studies (NCSS) · Dimension 2: Applying Disciplinary Concepts and Tools · Discipline: History · Causation and Argumentation · Official standard
D2.His.14.9-12 asks students to analyze multiple and complex causes and effects. Complex means more than a list: causes work at different levels (long-standing conditions, circumstances that made things worse, and the trigger), come from inside and outside a country, feed one another, and were explained differently by people with different stakes. Effects, too, spread outward over years and fall unevenly on different groups.
The case is the Panic of 1837, the financial crisis in which the banks of the United States stopped paying gold and silver for their notes in May 1837. Students read President Martin Van Buren's message to a special session of Congress (September 1837), a Whig answer in Daniel Webster's 1840 campaign speech at Saratoga, and the account of the French economist Clement Juglar as translated and extended by DeCourcy W. Thom (third edition, 1916). They use an SVHS teaching tool, the Causal Map, work with the numbers the sources give, and trace effects from the bank suspensions of 1837 to the second crisis of 1839 and the political fight that followed. The parties of 1837-1840 are treated as historical actors, each given its own voice.
Learning Objectives
By the end of this lesson, students will be able to:
Sort the causes of a past event by level (condition, aggravating circumstance, trigger), scope (domestic, international) and kind (economic, political, accidental)
Explain how causes interacted, including at least one loop in which a cause and an effect fed each other
Use numbers given in primary sources to measure change, and judge what those numbers can and cannot show
Analyze rival explanations given at the time, connecting each to its maker's position and purpose
Trace short-term, long-term and political effects of an event and identify who bore them
Prior Knowledge Required
Students should already be comfortable with:
Explaining multiple causes and effects of events in the past D2.His.14.6-8
Analyzing a series of events in a text and deciding whether earlier events caused later ones or simply came before them RH.9-10.3
Basic background: President Andrew Jackson vetoed the recharter of the Bank of the United States and moved federal deposits to state banks; his Vice President, Martin Van Buren, took office in March 1837
"A town's main store (an invented example) closes. The owner blames a new highway bypass that took traffic away; the town council blames the owner's large loans; a newspaper notes that a factory nearby had just laid off 200 workers. Who is right?"
Take answers, then sort them on the board: the loans were a condition that made the store fragile; the layoffs and the bypass made things worse; something on the last day (perhaps a bank calling in a loan) was the trigger. Point out that each person's explanation also protects or blames someone. Tell students they will analyze a national crisis the same way, with the people who lived through it arguing about its causes.
Direct Instruction25 minutes
Teach the vocabulary. Specie is gold and silver coin. In the 1830s most paper money was bank notes printed by private and state banks, which promised to pay specie on demand; when banks refused, that was a suspension of specie payments. Credit is borrowing; speculation is buying land, goods or shares in the hope of selling them at a higher price. Van Buren calls the crisis a revulsion, a sudden reversal. Then introduce the Causal Map.
The Causal Map (an SVHS teaching tool): three ways to sort each cause, plus the links between them
Was it there for years, did it make things worse, or did it set off the collapse?
Scope
Domestic; international
Did it start inside the United States or abroad?
Kind
Economic; political; accidental
Was it about money and trade, government decisions, or chance events such as a fire?
Links
Feeds another cause; is fed by another cause; works alone
Which arrows run between causes, and does any arrow loop back?
Who says so
The source, its date and its maker's stake
Would this maker have a reason to stress or play down this cause?
Read Source 1. Ask students to mark, in one color, every cause Van Buren names and, in another, every sentence about how people disagreed. Then read Source 2.
1During the earlier stages of the revulsion through which we have just passed much acrimonious discussion arose and great diversity of opinion existed as to its real causes. This was not surprising. The operations of credit are so diversified and the influences which affect them so numerous, and often so subtle, that even impartial and well-informed persons are seldom found to agree in respect to them. To inherent difficulties were also added other tendencies which were by no means favorable to the discovery of truth. It was hardly to be expected that those who disapproved the policy of the Government in relation to the currency would, in the excited state of public feeling produced by the occasion, fail to attribute to that policy any extensive embarrassment in the monetary affairs of the country. The matter thus became connected with the passions and conflicts of party; opinions were more or less affected by political considerations, and differences were prolonged which might otherwise have been determined by an appeal to facts, by the exercise of reason, or by mutual concession. [...]
2The history of trade in the United States for the last three or four years affords the most convincing evidence that our present condition is chiefly to be attributed to overaction in all the departments of business--an over-action deriving, perhaps, its first impulses from antecedent causes, but stimulated to its destructive consequences by excessive issues of bank paper and by other facilities for the acquisition and enlargement of credit. At the commencement of the year 1834 the banking capital of the United States, including that of the national bank, then existing, amounted to about $200,000,000, the bank notes then in circulation to about ninety-five millions, and the loans and discounts of the banks to three hundred and twenty-four millions. Between that time and the 1st of January, 1836, being the latest period to which accurate accounts have been received, our banking capital was increased to more than two hundred and fifty-one millions, our paper circulation to more than one hundred and forty millions, and the loans and discounts to more than four hundred and fifty-seven millions. To this vast increase are to be added the many millions of credit acquired by means of foreign loans, contracted by the States and State institutions, and, above all, by the lavish accommodations extended by foreign dealers to our merchants.
Martin Van Buren, in James D. Richardson's compilation, Special Session Message, September 4, 1837: the dispute over causes and the growth of bank credit (Source 1) (1837; this edition 1897). Public domain (published 1897). Source text.
1The consequences of this redundancy of credit and of the spirit of reckless speculation engendered by it were a foreign debt contracted by our citizens estimated in March last at more than $30,000,000; the extension to traders in the interior of our country of credits for supplies greatly beyond the wants of the people; the investment of $39,500,000 in unproductive public lands in the years 1835 and 1836, whilst in the preceding year the sales amounted to only four and a half millions; the creation of debts, to an almost countless amount, for real estate in existing or anticipated cities and villages, equally unproductive, and at prices now seen to have been greatly disproportionate to their real value; the expenditure of immense sums in improvements which in many cases have been found to be ruinously improvident; the diversion to other pursuits of much of the labor that should have been applied to agriculture, thereby contributing to the expenditure of large sums in the importation of grain from Europe--an expenditure which, amounting in 1834 to about $250,000, was in the first two quarters of the present year increased to more than $2,000,000; and finally, without enumerating other injurious results, the rapid growth among all classes, and especially in our great commercial towns, of luxurious habits founded too often on merely fancied wealth, and detrimental alike to the industry, the resources, and the morals of our people.
2It was so impossible that such a state of things could long continue that the prospect of revulsion was present to the minds of considerate men before it actually came. None, however, had correctly anticipated its severity. A concurrence of circumstances inadequate of themselves to produce such widespread and calamitous embarrassments tended so greatly to aggravate them that they can not be overlooked in considering their history. Among these may be mentioned, as most prominent, the great loss of capital sustained by our commercial emporium in the fire of December, 1835--a loss the effects of which were underrated at the time because postponed for a season by the great facilities of credit then existing; the disturbing effects in our commercial cities of the transfers of the public moneys required by the deposit law of June, 1836, and the measures adopted by the foreign creditors of our merchants to reduce their debts and to withdraw from the United States a large portion of our specie.
Martin Van Buren, in James D. Richardson's compilation, Special Session Message, September 4, 1837: what the credit boom led to, and what made it worse (Source 2) (1837; this edition 1897). Public domain (published 1897). Source text.
Levels of cause in one source
In Source 2, paragraph 2, Van Buren lists three circumstances: "the fire of December, 1835," "the transfers of the public moneys required by the deposit law of June, 1836," and the "measures adopted by the foreign creditors of our merchants." Where do they go on the Causal Map?
Result: He calls them "inadequate of themselves to produce such widespread and calamitous embarrassments," so in his account they are aggravating circumstances, not the underlying cause, which he finds in "overaction in all the departments of business" fed by "excessive issues of bank paper" (Source 1, paragraph 2). They also differ in scope and kind: the fire is domestic and accidental, the deposit transfers are domestic and political, and the creditors' measures are international and economic.
Measuring a cause with the source's numbers
Source 1, paragraph 2, gives banking capital of "about $200,000,000" and bank notes in circulation of "about ninety-five millions" at the start of 1834, and "more than two hundred and fifty-one millions" and "more than one hundred and forty millions" by January 1, 1836. Which grew faster?
Result: Capital: (251 - 200) ÷ 200 ≈ 25.5% increase. Notes: (140 - 95) ÷ 95 ≈ 47.4% increase. Notes in circulation grew almost twice as fast as the capital behind them: about 47.5 cents of notes for each dollar of capital in 1834 (95 ÷ 200), about 55.8 cents in 1836 (140 ÷ 251). The numbers support Van Buren's claim of "excessive issues of bank paper," but they stop at January 1836, more than a year before the crisis.
A feedback loop
Source 2, paragraph 1, says the credit boom diverted labor from farming, "thereby contributing to the expenditure of large sums in the importation of grain from Europe," from "about $250,000" in 1834 to "more than $2,000,000" in the first half of 1837. Trace the loop.
Result: Easy credit pulled workers into speculation and building, so less grain was grown at home; buying grain abroad sent money out of the country; at the same time Van Buren says foreign creditors were trying "to withdraw from the United States a large portion of our specie" (paragraph 2). Each step made the next harder to bear. By the numbers, grain imports in half a year were at least 8 times the whole of 1834 (2,000,000 ÷ 250,000 = 8).
A rival explanation inside the source
Van Buren admits that "those who disapproved the policy of the Government in relation to the currency" blamed that policy (Source 1, paragraph 1). How should a historian read his own explanation?
Result: As one side of a public argument. Van Buren had been Jackson's Vice President and defended the same currency policy, so he had reason to locate the causes in private credit, speculation and events abroad. That does not make him wrong, and his figures can be checked, but his account should be compared with a critic's (Source 4) and with a later, outside view (Source 3). He himself says opinions were "affected by political considerations."
Guided Practice15 minutes
Pairs read Source 3, from a history of financial panics by Clement Juglar, a French economist, as translated and enlarged by DeCourcy W. Thom, a former member of the Baltimore Stock Exchange and of the Consolidated Exchange of New York. Pairs place each cause it names on a Causal Map and draw at least two arrows between causes. Explain first: the Bank of England was Britain's central bank; its discount rate was the interest it charged; exchange was the price of buying money in another country. In paragraph 7, "L5,000,000" means 5,000,000 pounds sterling: this printing uses L for the pound sign.
1From 1826 to 1836 the condition of business, despite the panic of 1831, grew easier. Industries, agriculture, and commerce were prosperous and every enterprise was successful. Both in New Orleans and in New York there was much building, and more than 1508 houses were erected between January 1 and September 1, 1836. This general prosperity carried with it the seeds of trouble.
2The rapid increase of the National revenue gave birth to the belief that capital had increased in the same proportion. This superabundance of income produced temporarily by the inflation in business was recklessly thrown away. People speculated in land, projected a hundred railroads, canals, mines, and every sort of scheme, which would have absorbed $300,000,000 if carried out.
3The national capital being insufficient, loans were made in England and Holland, where the rate of interest being more moderate stimulated the passion for enterprises. Finally, in order to stop the flow of English capital to America, the Bank of England raised the rate of interest; this brought people to their senses. They saw the impossibility of carrying out a third of their schemes. Cotton fell, and panic seized the public.
4Since 1818 a period of flow and ebb in trade had been seen every five or six years, but this stoppage was much more serious. The lack of ready money and capital destroyed confidence. Money was not to be had upon any collateral; and the banks stopped discounting. The people lacked bread, the streets were deserted, the theatres empty; social observances were in abeyance, there were no more concerts, and the whole social round was stopped.
[...]
5Fearing that General Jackson would not establish a new bank, and by way of counterpoise, one hundred banks were created with a capital of more than $125,000,000; issues of bank stock were not to exceed three times the amount of the capital, but this provision was not observed; the issue was without regulation and without limits, and during an inflation in prices of the necessaries of life which had doubled in value, and which had turned the people's attention to agriculture. The price of land had for some time advanced tenfold, and the advance in cotton caused the Southern planters to abandon indigo and rice.
6Imports in 1836 exceeded the exports by $50,000,000, which had to be paid in gold or silver. This outflow of metal created a great void.
7The advance in the discount rate in the Bank of England under such circumstances came like a thunder-clap, and the distended bladder burst. Banks suspended payment, and bank notes lost from 10 to 20 per cent. Exchange on France and England rose to 22 per cent., all metal disappeared from circulation, and a thousand failures took place. The English export houses lost from L5,000,000 to L6,000,000 sterling; values fell from maximum to minimum. The losses in America were even greater; cotton fell to nothing. [...]
Clement Juglar and DeCourcy W. Thom, A Brief History of Panics: the boom before 1837 and the panic (Source 3) (1893; this edition 1916). Public domain (published 1916). Source text.
Key for the teacher.
International causes: loans "made in England and Holland" (paragraph 3); the Bank of England "raised the rate of interest" to stop British money flowing to America (paragraph 3), described again as "a thunder-clap" (paragraph 7); the fall in cotton prices (paragraphs 3 and 7).
Domestic causes: speculation "in land," railroads and canals (paragraph 2); "one hundred banks" created after the national bank's end, issuing notes "without regulation and without limits" (paragraph 5); imports exceeding exports "by $50,000,000," paid "in gold or silver" (paragraph 6).
Trigger: in this account, the Bank of England's rate rise.
Arrows: for example, British loans fed American speculation in land and projects (paragraphs 2-3). Accept other arrows that students can support with the text.
Independent Practice20 minutes
Students read Source 4, Daniel Webster's speech of August 1840, given during the presidential campaign in which his Whig party opposed Van Buren. They write a one-page analysis:
What cause does Webster blame for the crisis, and what evidence does he give for it?
What effects of the crisis does he describe, three years after the panic?
Where does Webster agree or disagree with Van Buren (Sources 1-2)? What does each leave out?
How should Webster's purpose in August 1840 affect the way a historian uses his explanation?
1We are, my friends, in the midst of a great movement of the people. That a revolution in public sentiment on some important questions of public policy has begun, and is in progress, it is vain to attempt to conceal, and folly to deny. What will be the extent of this revolution, what its immediate effects upon political men and political measures, what ultimate influence it may have on the integrity of the Constitution, and the permanent prosperity of the country, remains to be seen. Meantime, no one can deny that an extraordinary excitement exists in the country, such as has not been witnessed for more than half a century; not local, nor confined to any two, or three, or ten States, but pervading the whole, from north to south, and from east to west, with equal force and intensity. For an effect so general, a cause of equal extent must exist. No cause, local or partial, can produce consequences so general and universal. In some parts of the country, indeed, local causes may in some degree add to the flame; but no local cause, nor any number of local causes, can account for the generally excited state of the public mind.
2In portions of the country devoted to agriculture and manufactures, we hear complaints of want of market and low prices. Yet there are other portions of the country, which are consumers, and not producers, of food and manufactures; and, as purchasers, they should, it would seem, be satisfied with the low prices of which the sellers complain; but in these portions, too, of the country, there are dissatisfaction and discontent. Everywhere we find complaining and a desire for change.
[...]
3Two months only after General Jackson had retired, and when his vigorous hand was no longer there to uphold it, the league of State banks fell, and crumbled into atoms; and when Mr. Van Buren had been only three months President, he convoked a special session of Congress for the ensuing September. The country was in wide-spread confusion, paralyzed in its commerce, its currency utterly deranged. What was to be done? What would Mr. Van Buren recommend? He could not go back to the Bank of the United States, for he had committed himself against its constitutionality; nor could he, with any great prospect of success, undertake to reconstruct the league of deposit banks; for it had recently failed, and the country had lost confidence in it. What, then, was to be done? He could go neither backward nor forward. What did he do? I mean not to speak disrespectfully, but I say he--escaped! Afraid to touch the fragments of the broken banks, unable to touch the United States Bank, he folded up his arms, and said, The government has nothing to do with providing a currency for the people. That I may do him no wrong, I will read his own language. His predecessors had all said, We will not turn our backs upon this duty of government to provide a uniform currency; his language is, We will turn our backs on this duty. He proposes nothing for the country, nothing for the relief of commerce, or the regulation of exchanges, but simply the means of getting money into the treasury without loss. [...]
Daniel Webster, Speech at Saratoga, August 19, 1840 (Source 4: a Whig explanation, in a presidential campaign) (1840; this edition 1903). Public domain (published 1903). Source text.
What to look for. Strong analyses quote Webster with paragraph numbers, separate the cause he names from the evidence he gives for it, notice that his effects are described in 1840 rather than 1837, and treat both Webster and Van Buren as interested parties whose claims can be tested against each other and against Source 3. Students should not decide which party was right; they should judge how well each explanation is supported.
Closure10-15 minutes
Read Sources 5 and 6, two more parts of Van Buren's message: his comparison of Britain and the United States, and the opening of the message, which explains why he called Congress back early. Students will use them in the quiz. Source 7 is for homework.
1However unwilling any of our citizens may heretofore have been to assign to these causes the chief instrumentality in producing the present state of things, the developments subsequently made and the actual condition of other commercial countries must, as it seems to me, dispel all remaining doubts upon the subject. It has since appeared that evils similar to those suffered by ourselves have been experienced in Great Britain, on the Continent, and, indeed, throughout the commercial world, and that in other countries as well as in our own they have been uniformly preceded by an undue enlargement of the boundaries of trade, prompted, as with us, by unprecedented expansions of the systems of credit. [...] The reaction was proportioned in its violence to the extraordinary character of the events which preceded it. The commercial community of Great Britain were subjected to the greatest difficulties, and their debtors in this country were not only suddenly deprived of accustomed and expected credits, but called upon for payments which in the actual posture of things here could only be made through a general pressure and at the most ruinous sacrifices.
2In view of these facts it would seem impossible for sincere inquirers after truth to resist the conviction that the causes of the revulsion in both countries have been substantially the same. Two nations, the most commercial in the world, enjoying but recently the highest degree of apparent prosperity and maintaining with each other the closest relations, are suddenly, in a time of profound peace and without any great national disaster, arrested in their career and plunged into a state of embarrassment and distress. In both countries we have witnessed the same redundancy of paper money and other facilities of credit; the same spirit of speculation; the same partial successes; the same difficulties and reverses, and at length nearly the same overwhelming catastrophe. The most material difference between the results in the two countries has only been that with us there has also occurred an extensive derangement in the fiscal affairs of the Federal and State Governments, occasioned by the suspension of specie payments by the banks.
Martin Van Buren, in James D. Richardson's compilation, Special Session Message, September 4, 1837: the crisis in Great Britain and the United States (Source 5) (1837; this edition 1897). Public domain (published 1897). Source text.
1The act of the 23d of June, 1836, regulating the deposits of the public money and directing the employment of State, District, and Territorial banks for that purpose, made it the duty of the Secretary of the Treasury to discontinue the use of such of them as should at any time refuse to redeem their notes in specie, and to substitute other banks, provided a sufficient number could be obtained to receive the public deposits upon the terms and conditions therein prescribed. The general and almost simultaneous suspension of specie payments by the banks in May last rendered the performance of this duty imperative in respect to those which had been selected under the act, and made it at the same time impracticable to employ the requisite number of others upon the prescribed conditions. The specific regulations established by Congress for the deposit and safe-keeping of the public moneys having thus unexpectedly become inoperative, I felt it to be my duty to afford you an early opportunity for the exercise of your supervisory powers over the subject.
2I was also led to apprehend that the suspension of specie payments, increasing the embarrassments before existing in the pecuniary affairs of the country, would so far diminish the public revenue that the accruing receipts into the Treasury would not, with the reserved five millions, be sufficient to defray the unavoidable expenses of the Government until the usual period for the meeting of Congress, whilst the authority to call upon the States for a portion of the sums deposited with them was too restricted to enable the Department to realize a sufficient amount from that source. These apprehensions have been justified by subsequent results, which render it certain that this deficiency will occur if additional means be not provided by Congress.
[...]
3A danger difficult, if not impossible, to be avoided in such an arrangement is made strikingly evident in the very event by which it has now been defeated. A sudden act of the banks intrusted with the funds of the people deprives the Treasury, without fault or agency of the Government, of the ability to pay its creditors in the currency they have by law a right to demand. This circumstance no fluctuation of commerce could have produced if the public revenue had been collected in the legal currency and kept in that form by the officers of the Treasury. The citizen whose money was in bank receives it back since the suspension at a sacrifice in its amount, whilst he who kept it in the legal currency of the country and in his own possession pursues without loss the current of his business. The Government, placed in the situation of the former, is involved in embarrassments it could not have suffered had it pursued the course of the latter. These embarrassments are, moreover, augmented by those salutary and just laws which forbid it to use a depreciated currency, and by so doing take from the Government the ability which individuals have of accommodating their transactions to such a catastrophe.
Martin Van Buren, in James D. Richardson's compilation, Special Session Message, September 4, 1837: why Congress was called back, and the Treasury's problem (Source 6) (1837; this edition 1897). Public domain (published 1897). Source text.
1The protection of his bills of exchange made a great impression in England; the rebound was felt in America, where the panic, moderated in 1837 through the intervention of the Bank, burst forth with renewed fury in 1839, and brought about the complete liquidation of that establishment.
[...]
2Tables indicating the banks which suspended during the panic: In 1814, 90; in 1830, 165; in 1837, 618; in 1839, 959. The last panic, from 1837 to 1839, produced, according to some pretty accurate reports of 1841, 33,000 failures, involving a loss of $440,000,000.
3PANIC OF 1848.--The entire discounts, which had risen to $525,000,000 in 1837, fell to $485,000,000 in 1838, only to rise again to $492,000,000 in 1839, and the real liquidation of the panic occurred only then. Discounts fell at once to $462,000,000, then $386,000,000; the abundance of capital, and the low price at which it was offered, cleared out bank paper until it was reduced from $525,000,000 to $254,000,000 in 1843. [...]
Clement Juglar and DeCourcy W. Thom, A Brief History of Panics: the panic of 1839 and the numbers that followed (Source 7, for homework) (1893; this edition 1916). Public domain (published 1916). Source text.
Exit ticket: "Name one cause of the Panic of 1837 that came from abroad and one that came from inside the United States, and explain in one sentence how they worked together."
Teacher notes. (1) The Democrats and Whigs of 1837-1840 were the parties of their time; the lesson presents each side's case in its own words and grades the analysis, not a conclusion about which side was right. Avoid drawing comparisons to present-day parties or policies. (2) The sources disagree on some details: Juglar's book, in a passage not printed here, dates the New York banks' suspension to "the beginning of April, 1837," while Van Buren, writing that September, speaks of the suspension "in May last" (Source 6). Standard histories date the New York banks' suspension to May 10, 1837, which agrees with Van Buren; this is a useful moment to discuss how dates are checked. (3) Juglar's and Thom's numbers are their own estimates and rounded figures; treat them as evidence to be tested, not as exact counts. (4) Each cut in the sources is marked [...]; the cuts leave out other topics in the same documents.
Differentiation Strategies
For Struggling Students
Give a partly filled Causal Map with the three levels labeled and one example in each
Read Van Buren's long sentences in Sources 1 and 2 in chunks, and have students restate each chunk in eight words or fewer
Pre-teach eight terms with an everyday example: specie, bank note, credit, speculation, suspension, discount rate, imports, exports
For Advanced Students
Have students compare Juglar's claim that "one hundred banks were created with a capital of more than $125,000,000" (Source 3) with Van Buren's capital figures (Source 1) and explain why the two might not match
Ask students to find one effect in Sources 4-7 that also became a cause of something later, and draw it as a loop
Have students write a paragraph on how a historian could test Webster's claim that a general effect needs a general cause
Assessment Guidance
What to Look For
Strong work goes beyond listing causes: it sorts them by level, scope and kind, draws at least one link or loop between causes and supports each with a quotation or a number from the sources. It treats Van Buren and Webster as interested witnesses, uses Juglar and Thom as a later outside view with its own limits, and separates immediate, later and political effects. Calculations are correct and are interpreted, not just reported.
02
Classroom Activities
3 Activities
1
Loop Builder
20 minGroups of 3-4
Each group gets 12 cause cards, each with a short quotation and its source, and a large Causal Map. Groups place every card, then build at least three chains of three or more cards with arrows, and at least one loop in which an effect feeds back into a cause. Each arrow needs a "because" sentence on a sticky note.
The 12 Cards
"excessive issues of bank paper" (Source 1)
"the fire of December, 1835" (Source 2)
"the transfers of the public moneys required by the deposit law of June, 1836" (Source 2)
"measures adopted by the foreign creditors of our merchants to reduce their debts" (Source 2)
"the investment of $39,500,000 in unproductive public lands" (Source 2)
"loans were made in England and Holland" (Source 3)
"the Bank of England raised the rate of interest" (Source 3)
"Cotton fell" (Source 3)
"one hundred banks were created" (Source 3)
"Imports in 1836 exceeded the exports by $50,000,000" (Source 3)
"the league of State banks fell" (Source 4)
"the suspension of specie payments by the banks in May last" (Source 6)
Notes for the Teacher
Cards 2-4 and 6-10 are placed in Direct Instruction and Guided Practice; let groups disagree where the sources do. Cards 11 and 12 are a good test: each is an effect of earlier causes and a cause of what followed. Accept any loop students can support with two quotations. One worth testing: did falling cotton prices (card 8) and creditors' demands for payment (card 4) make each other worse?
2
Counterfactual Lab
20 minSmall groups
Each group draws one card: the Bank of England's rate rise; the New York fire of December 1835; the transfers under the deposit law of 1836; or the end of the national bank and the rise of the state banks. Groups write a short argument (6-8 sentences) answering: if this cause had been missing, would the crisis still have come? They must name what the cause did, which other causes would still have been there, and whether the cause was necessary (the crisis needed it) or only made things worse.
Rules
Use at least two sources, including one from a writer who disagrees with the group's conclusion.
Every claim about what "would have happened" must rest on a cause the sources describe.
End with one sentence on what the exercise shows about how the causes worked together.
Debrief
Groups report. Ask which cards seemed necessary and which only made the crisis worse, and why sources from opposing sides answered differently. Score the use of evidence and the reasoning, not the prediction.
3
Do the Numbers Agree?
15 minPairs
Pairs compare the figures in two sources and decide whether they agree, conflict or measure different things.
The Comparisons
Juglar and Thom: "one hundred banks were created with a capital of more than $125,000,000" (Source 3, paragraph 5). Van Buren: banking capital rose from "about $200,000,000" at the start of 1834 to "more than two hundred and fifty-one millions" by January 1, 1836 (Source 1, paragraph 2). Compute Van Buren's increase and compare.
Juglar and Thom: "Imports in 1836 exceeded the exports by $50,000,000" (Source 3, paragraph 6). Van Buren: "a foreign debt contracted by our citizens estimated in March last at more than $30,000,000" (Source 2, paragraph 1). Do these numbers measure the same thing?
Key for the Teacher
(1) Van Buren's figures give an increase of about $51,000,000 (251 - 200), far less than $125,000,000. Possible reasons to test: the sources may cover different years (Source 3 gives no dates for the new banks), may count different things (capital promised on paper or capital paid in), or one may be wrong. (2) No: a trade gap in one year and the total debt owed at one moment are different measures, so they need not match. Good answers explain what further source would settle each question.
03
Diagrams & Visual Aids
2 diagrams
Diagram 1: The Causal Map
The Causal Map is an SVHS teaching tool. Each cause card goes in one row (its level) and one column (its scope); a solid arrow shows that one cause fed another, and a dashed loop shows a cause and an effect feeding each other. Students add the kind of cause and the source that names it.
Diagram 2: The Bank Figures Van Buren Gave
Bars drawn to scale (0.44 pixels per million dollars) from Source 1, paragraph 2: the start of 1834 and January 1, 1836. Van Buren gives "about" for the 1834 figures and "more than" for the 1836 figures, so the bars show his rounded numbers, not exact ones.
04
Homework Assignment
~30 min
D2.His.14.9-12 Homework: Effects That Spread, and a Second Look at Causes
Directions: Use Source 7 (printed in Closure) for Part 1 and Sources 1-7 for Part 2. Show every calculation, quote with source and paragraph numbers, and explain what each number can and cannot show.
Part 1: The Effects After 1837 (Problems 1-3)
Source 7, paragraph 2, gives the number of banks that suspended in 1837 and in 1839. Compute the percent change from 1837 to 1839. What does the change suggest about how the effects of the panic developed?
Source 7, paragraph 3, says bank discounts (loans) fell from $525,000,000 in 1837 to $254,000,000 in 1843. Compute the percent decline. Then explain two ways such a fall in lending could affect people who were not bankers, and say which source on this page, if any, supports each.
Source 7, paragraph 1, says the panic, "moderated in 1837 through the intervention of the Bank, burst forth with renewed fury in 1839." Was the crisis of 1839 a new event or an effect of the Panic of 1837? Argue one side in a paragraph, and state the strongest point for the other side.
Part 2: Putting the Analysis Together (Problems 4-6)
Build a complete Causal Map of the Panic of 1837 with at least eight causes. Use all three levels and both columns, mark each cause economic, political or accidental, and draw at least two loops. Give a source and paragraph for each card.
Webster (Source 4) and Juglar and Thom (Source 3) explain the crisis differently. In two paragraphs, compare the causes each stresses, the evidence each gives and what each leaves out. Explain how each writer's position (a party leader in an election year; an economist and a former stock exchange member writing decades later) might shape his explanation.
Choose two groups affected by the crisis (for example, the federal government, banks, merchants, cotton planters, workers). For each, describe one effect with evidence from Sources 3, 4, 6 or 7, and explain whether the effect was short-term or long-term.
Rubric
Criterion
Full Credit (2 pts)
Partial Credit (1 pt)
No Credit (0 pts)
Complexity of causes
Causes sorted by level, scope and kind, with links and loops supported by quotations
Causes sorted in one way only, or links without support
A list of causes
Use of numbers
Correct calculations, interpreted with their limits
Correct calculations without interpretation, or a small error
Missing or wrong calculations
Rival explanations
Each explanation tied to its maker's position, and tested against other sources
Positions named but not used
Explanations treated as neutral facts
Effects
Effects separated by time and by group, with evidence
Effects named without timing or evidence
Effects missing
05
Quiz: 20 Questions
Interactive, with answers
Instructions
Questions 3-7 use Sources 5 and 6 (Closure). Questions 8, 9 and 14 use Sources 1 and 2 (Direct Instruction), and Questions 12 and 18 use Source 3 (Guided Practice). Questions 10, 11 and 13 use Source 4 (Independent Practice). Questions 15-17, 19 and 20 combine several sources, and Questions 1 and 2 need little or none. Questions 1-14 are multiple choice; 15-20 are short answer.
Multiple choice: pick an option to check it. Short answer: write your answer, then reveal the model answer.
0 of 20 answered · 0 correct
Question 1 of 20 · Multiple Choice
In an invented example, a dam weakened by years of poor repair breaks after one night of heavy rain. Which statement sorts the causes correctly?
Answer: B
B: the weakness built up over years, and the storm set off the break. A reverses the two levels. C treats everything that came before as a trigger. D confuses the event with its causes.
Question 2 of 20 · Multiple Choice
Why did people in 1837-1840 explain the causes of the panic so differently?
Answer: C
C: Van Buren notes that the question "became connected with the passions and conflicts of party" (Source 1, paragraph 1), and Webster spoke in an election campaign (Source 4). A is false: Van Buren gives many figures. B assumes a single cause. D is contradicted by the sources themselves.
Question 3 of 20 · Multiple Choice
In Source 5, how does Van Buren argue that the main causes were not American government policy alone?
Answer: C
C: he writes that "evils similar to those suffered by ourselves have been experienced in Great Britain, on the Continent," each "preceded by an undue enlargement of the boundaries of trade" (paragraph 1). If the same pattern appears where American policy did not apply, that policy cannot be the whole cause. A contradicts his own figures, B confuses an American law with Britain, and D gets the order of events wrong.
Question 4 of 20 · Multiple Choice
According to Source 5, paragraph 2, what was the "most material difference" between the crisis in Britain and in the United States?
Answer: D
Van Buren says that "with us there has also occurred an extensive derangement in the fiscal affairs of the Federal and State Governments, occasioned by the suspension of specie payments by the banks," so D. A, B and C name things he says both countries shared: "the same redundancy of paper money," "the same spirit of speculation" and "nearly the same overwhelming catastrophe."
Question 5 of 20 · Multiple Choice
Source 6, paragraph 1, explains why Van Buren called Congress back early. Which chain matches his explanation?
Answer: A
A: the 1836 law required the Treasury to stop using banks that would not redeem their notes in specie; after "the general and almost simultaneous suspension of specie payments by the banks in May last," the regulations "unexpectedly become inoperative," so he called Congress to act. B, C and D put the suspension at the end of the chain instead of the start.
Question 6 of 20 · Multiple Choice
What further effect of the suspension does Van Buren predict in Source 6, paragraph 2?
Answer: D
He feared the suspension "would so far diminish the public revenue" that receipts would not cover "the unavoidable expenses of the Government," and adds that "this deficiency will occur if additional means be not provided," so D. A contradicts his point that the authority to call on the States was "too restricted." B and C are not in the source.
Question 7 of 20 · Multiple Choice
In Source 6, paragraph 3, what conclusion does Van Buren draw from the way the suspension hurt the Treasury?
Answer: B
He argues the problem could not have happened "if the public revenue had been collected in the legal currency and kept in that form by the officers of the Treasury," so B. A is the opposite of his position; C and D are not in the source.
Question 8 of 20 · Multiple Choice
Source 2 says $39,500,000 went into public lands "in the years 1835 and 1836," while "in the preceding year the sales amounted to only four and a half millions." Per year, the land sales of 1835-1836 were about how many times the earlier year's?
Answer: C
The $39.5 million covers two years, so per year it is 39.5 ÷ 2 = 19.75 million, and 19.75 ÷ 4.5 ≈ 4.4, so C. A divides the two-year total by one year (39.5 ÷ 4.5 ≈ 8.8). B subtracts (39.5 - 4.5 = 35). D divides the wrong way (4.5 ÷ 19.75 ≈ 0.23).
Question 9 of 20 · Multiple Choice
Source 1, paragraph 2, says bank loans and discounts grew from "three hundred and twenty-four millions" in 1834 to "more than four hundred and fifty-seven millions" by January 1836. About what percent increase is that?
Answer: D
(457 - 324) ÷ 324 = 133 ÷ 324 ≈ 0.41, so D. A reports the dollar increase (133 million) as a percent. B divides by the later figure (133 ÷ 457 ≈ 0.29). C gives the new figure as a percent of the old (457 ÷ 324 ≈ 1.41) without subtracting 100 percent.
Question 10 of 20 · Multiple Choice
Webster says, "For an effect so general, a cause of equal extent must exist" (Source 4, paragraph 1). What is the main weakness of this reasoning?
Answer: C
C: a general effect can come from one general cause, as Webster argues, but it can also come from several causes working together across the country and abroad, as Van Buren and Juglar describe. A is wrong: he describes "complaints of want of market and low prices" (paragraph 2). B and D misstate what he says.
Question 11 of 20 · Multiple Choice
Webster writes that "Two months only after General Jackson had retired," the state banks "fell, and crumbled into atoms" (Source 4, paragraph 3). What should a careful historian ask about this claim?
Answer: A
A: one event following another does not prove that the first caused the second. Webster links the banks' fall to the loss of Jackson's "vigorous hand," but Van Buren and Juglar point to credit, speculation and events abroad. B and C are answered by Webster's own dates, and D does not test the causal claim.
Question 12 of 20 · Multiple Choice
Juglar and Thom write that the general prosperity before 1837 "carried with it the seeds of trouble" (Source 3, paragraph 1). What kind of causal claim is this?
Answer: B
B: the claim makes the boom an underlying condition: rising revenue and success bred the belief that capital had grown and led to reckless speculation (paragraph 2). A describes a trigger, not a condition. C ignores the domestic boom they describe. D contradicts the sentence.
Question 13 of 20 · Multiple Choice
Webster's 1840 speech opens by describing "a revolution in public sentiment" and "an extraordinary excitement" across the country (Source 4, paragraph 1). What effect of the panic does the speech itself show?
Answer: B
B: three years after the suspension, a leading Whig campaigned on the crisis and on "complaints of want of market and low prices" (paragraph 2), so its effects had become political. A is contradicted by those complaints and by the second panic of 1839 (Source 7). C and D contradict the speech's picture of excitement and dispute.
Question 14 of 20 · Multiple Choice
Van Buren himself says opinions about the causes "were more or less affected by political considerations" (Source 1, paragraph 1). How should a historian treat his own explanation?
Answer: A
A: Van Buren defended the policies his critics blamed, so his account is evidence of one side's case, and his figures can be checked. B trusts his office over the evidence. C throws away a useful source. D assumes that pointing out others' bias makes him free of it.
Question 15 of 20 · Short Answer
Using Sources 1 and 3, explain how two causes of the Panic of 1837 fed each other, so that each made the other stronger. Quote both sources.
Model answer (one example): Easy bank credit and land speculation fed each other. Van Buren describes an "over-action" in business "stimulated to its destructive consequences by excessive issues of bank paper" (Source 1, paragraph 2). Juglar and Thom say that "People speculated in land" and that "one hundred banks were created" whose issues were "without regulation and without limits" (Source 3, paragraphs 2 and 5). New notes paid for land; rising land prices and sales made more lending look safe; more lending raised prices again. When credit stopped, the loop ran the other way. Rubric: 1 point for two causes with quotations from both sources; 1 point for explaining the two-way link.
Question 16 of 20 · Short Answer
Compare Van Buren's explanation (Sources 1, 2 and 5) with Webster's (Source 4). For each, name the main cause and the kind of evidence it rests on (numbers, timing, or comparison with other countries), and explain how a historian could test that evidence.
Model answer: Van Buren blames "overaction in all the departments of business" fed by bank paper (Source 1, paragraph 2). His evidence is numbers (bank capital, notes and loans for 1834-1836) and comparison: similar crises in Britain and Europe (Source 5). A historian could check his figures against bank records and test whether the British crisis really had the same causes. Webster blames the end of the national bank and the fall of the "league of State banks" (Source 4, paragraph 3). His evidence is timing: the collapse came "Two months only after General Jackson had retired." A historian could test it by asking whether the crisis also struck places that Jackson's policy did not touch, which Van Buren's comparison suggests it did. Rubric: 1 point for each writer's cause and kind of evidence; 1 point for a sensible test of each.
Question 17 of 20 · Short Answer
Van Buren concludes that "the causes of the revulsion in both countries have been substantially the same" (Source 5, paragraph 2). Does Juglar and Thom's account (Source 3) support that claim? Explain.
Model answer: Partly. Both describe a credit boom and speculation: Van Buren in Britain and America (Source 5, paragraph 1), Juglar and Thom in America, which they say was fed when "loans were made in England and Holland" (Source 3, paragraph 3). But Source 3 also makes Britain's own action a trigger for the American crisis: the Bank of England "raised the rate of interest" "to stop the flow of English capital to America" (paragraph 3). That suggests the two crises were linked, one country's response setting off the other's collapse, not simply parallel results of the same causes. Rubric: 1 point for a judgment with evidence of agreement; 1 point for evidence that complicates Van Buren's claim.
Question 18 of 20 · Short Answer
Using Source 3, trace a chain of at least three links from the Bank of England's rate rise to effects inside the United States.
Model answer: The Bank of England raised its rate "to stop the flow of English capital to America" (paragraph 3), so Americans could no longer borrow abroad to carry their schemes; at the same time, imports had exceeded exports by $50,000,000, paid "in gold or silver," which left "a great void" of coin (paragraph 6); so when the rate rise "came like a thunder-clap," "Banks suspended payment, and bank notes lost from 10 to 20 per cent," and "a thousand failures took place" (paragraph 7). Rubric: 1 point for three links in order; 1 point for quotations at each step.
Question 19 of 20 · Short Answer
Webster says Van Buren "proposes nothing for the country, nothing for the relief of commerce" (Source 4, paragraph 3). How did Van Buren's response to the panic itself become a cause of further conflict? Use Sources 4 and 6.
Model answer: Van Buren's proposal to keep public money out of banks (Source 6, paragraph 3) was his answer to an effect of the panic. Whigs like Webster saw it as abandoning "this duty of government to provide a uniform currency" (Source 4, paragraph 3) and campaigned against it in 1840, so the government's response became a new cause of political conflict, and of the "revolution in public sentiment" Webster describes (paragraph 1). Rubric: 1 point for the response as an effect; 1 point for showing how it caused further conflict, with quotations.
Question 20 of 20 · Short Answer
Write a thesis sentence that explains the Panic of 1837 as the result of interacting domestic and international causes, then support it with two pieces of evidence from different sources, one of them a number.
Model answer (one example): Thesis: The Panic of 1837 came when a domestic credit boom built on bank paper and land speculation met a tightening of British credit. Evidence 1: bank notes in circulation rose from about $95 million at the start of 1834 to more than $140 million by January 1836, by almost half (Source 1, paragraph 2). Evidence 2: the Bank of England "raised the rate of interest" to stop the flow of English capital to America, and "Cotton fell, and panic seized the public" (Source 3, paragraph 3). Rubric: 1 point for a thesis naming both domestic and international causes and their interaction; 1 point for two pieces of evidence from different sources, including a number.
0 of 20 answered · 0 correct
06
Frequently Asked Questions
10 Questions
What does D2.His.14.9-12 mean?
D2.His.14.9-12 asks high school students to analyze multiple and complex causes and effects of events in the past. It is part of the C3 Framework's history strand on causation and argumentation. Complex means students look at how causes differ in level and scope, how they interact, and how effects spread over time and across groups.
What makes causes "complex" rather than just "multiple"?
A list of causes is multiple; an analysis is complex when it shows how the causes relate. Students sort causes into long-standing conditions, circumstances that made things worse and triggers; separate domestic from international causes; and show causes feeding each other. They also notice that people at the time disagreed about the causes for reasons of their own.
How is D2.His.14.9-12 different from D2.His.14.6-8?
In grades 6-8, students explain several causes and effects of an event. In grades 9-12, they analyze how those causes and effects connect: which were underlying and which were triggers, how they interacted, how they were explained by people with different stakes, and how effects developed over years.
Why use the Panic of 1837 for D2.His.14.9-12?
The panic had causes inside and outside the United States, economic and political, and the people who lived through it argued about them in public. The President's message, a leading opponent's speech and a later economic history give three different explanations, with numbers students can work with. Its effects reached from bank suspensions in 1837 to a second crisis in 1839 and the presidential election of 1840.
Does this lesson take sides between the Democrats and the Whigs?
No. Van Buren's and Webster's explanations are both presented in their own words, and students judge how well each is supported by evidence. The lesson does not connect the parties of the 1830s to any party or policy today.
What math do students need for this lesson?
Only percent change and simple ratios: for example, the change from $324 million to $457 million in bank loans. The lesson asks students to explain what each number shows and what it cannot show, such as figures that stop more than a year before the crisis.
What is a feedback loop in history?
A feedback loop is a chain in which an effect feeds back into its own cause. In a credit boom, for example, new loans can raise prices, and rising prices can make more loans look safe. Loops help explain why booms and crises can grow faster than any single cause would suggest.
How does D2.His.14.9-12 connect to other standards?
It builds on D2.His.14.6-8 and works alongside D2.His.15.9-12, which asks students to distinguish long-term causes from triggering events, and RH.11-12.3, which asks them to evaluate explanations against textual evidence. Students who analyze the economic side of the panic also practice economics indicators on money and banking.
Is D2.His.14.9-12 taught in U.S. history or world history?
Either; the indicator names a skill. This page uses a U.S. history case that has an international side, which shows students that national events often have causes beyond national borders.
How can I assess D2.His.14.9-12 beyond a quiz?
Ask students to build a complete causal map with sources, or to write an analytical paragraph with a thesis that names interacting causes and supports it with a number and a quotation. Score the links and the use of evidence, not the number of causes listed.
07
Related Standards
6 standards
These standards connect to D2.His.14.9-12: prerequisites to review first, parallel standards at the same level, and next steps that build on it.
Before this lesson
D2.His.14.6-8Prerequisite
Explain multiple causes and effects of events and developments in the past
Integrate evidence from multiple sources into a reasoned argument about the past
Lesson coming soon
Standard text: National Council for the Social Studies (NCSS), The College, Career, and Civic Life (C3) Framework for Social Studies State Standards: Guidance for Enhancing the Rigor of K-12 Civics, Economics, Geography, and History (Silver Spring, MD: NCSS, 2013). NCSS was not involved in the production of this lesson and does not endorse it.