Weigh the Evidence
Groups place 10 evidence cards on a weighting grid. The horizontal axis runs from economic activity to political decision; the vertical axis runs from weak to strong evidence of a cause. Every card comes from the sources on this page.
The 10 cards
- Congress funds Interstate routes "through urban areas" (Source 1)
- St. Louis County gains 132,119 people from 1940 to 1950 (Source 2)
- The city's land area is 61.0 sq mi in 1950 and 61.9 sq mi in 1990 (Source 3 and Working Paper No. 27)
- The city loses 106,770 people from 1950 to 1960 (Source 2)
- The city's manufacturing jobs fall from 62,870 to 16,323 (Source 4)
- St. Charles County's private jobs grow from 49,089 to 135,772 (Source 4)
- St. Charles County is 85.9% urban by 1990 (Source 3)
- Lincoln County grows by 23,674 people from 1990 to 2010 (Source 2)
- Interstate 70 crosses St. Charles County (Diagram 1)
- St. Louis County's population barely changes from 1970 to 2010 (Source 2)
Steps
- Read each card aloud and decide which kind of cause it is evidence for, or whether it is an outcome to be explained.
- Place it on the grid and write one sentence on a sticky note explaining its position.
- Choose the two strongest cards on each side and use them to write a group claim.
Discussion
Ask: Which cards are outcomes rather than causes? (Cards 2, 4, 7, 8 and 10 describe changes in population or land use.) Which card weakens a highways-only explanation? (Card 2: growth began before 1956.) Which card is the clearest political decision? (Card 1 or card 3.) Accept other placements that groups can defend with evidence.